Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.045075 0.052638 0.060957 0.070770 0.082010 0.094465 0.109294
2025-04-27 0.035596 0.045943 0.058371 0.074328 0.094193 0.118022 0.148679
2025-05-04 0.027133 0.038314 0.052839 0.072928 0.099803 0.134299 0.181675
2025-05-11 0.021561 0.033009 0.048957 0.072509 0.106051 0.151681 0.217925
2025-05-18 0.017063 0.028154 0.044631 0.070459 0.109371 0.165114 0.250098
2025-05-25 0.013841 0.024476 0.041237 0.068973 0.112927 0.178862 0.283827
2025-06-01 0.011736 0.022113 0.039367 0.069347 0.119051 0.196713 0.325131
2025-06-08 0.009700 0.019442 0.036505 0.067574 0.121348 0.208665 0.358289
2025-06-15 0.008839 0.018694 0.036749 0.070970 0.132407 0.235465 0.417429
2025-06-22 0.007656 0.017102 0.035209 0.070943 0.137475 0.252733 0.462324
2025-06-29 0.006458 0.015241 0.032857 0.069039 0.138867 0.263708 0.497333
2025-07-06 0.005567 0.013842 0.031170 0.068122 0.141864 0.277612 0.538474
2025-07-13 0.005186 0.013520 0.031655 0.071651 0.153879 0.309209 0.614735
2025-07-20 0.004762 0.013017 0.031689 0.074266 0.164407 0.339063 0.690524
2025-07-27 0.004059 0.011699 0.029731 0.072383 0.165632 0.351360 0.734439
2025-08-03 0.003543 0.010739 0.028425 0.071726 0.169277 0.368626 0.789308
2025-08-10 0.003016 0.009632 0.026583 0.069577 0.169441 0.378884 0.831169
2025-08-17 0.002601 0.008738 0.025105 0.068049 0.170747 0.391507 0.878729
2025-08-24 0.002330 0.008201 0.024443 0.068389 0.176276 0.413378 0.946951
2025-08-31 0.002007 0.007427 0.023023 0.066624 0.176687 0.424282 0.992996
2025-09-07 0.001917 0.007375 0.023562 0.069969 0.189637 0.463664 1.102946
2025-09-14 0.001717 0.006909 0.022861 0.069939 0.194334 0.485033 1.175321
2025-09-21 0.001484 0.006272 0.021550 0.068057 0.194187 0.495357 1.224028